How Kristen Stewart, Robert Pattinson Drama Will Affect ‘Breaking Dawn – Part II’ Release, Box Office Experts Weigh In (ANALYSIS)

By: Nicholas White / July 26, 2012

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Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 2 may be mired in scandal since Kristen Stewart admitted to cheating on Robert Pattinson, but look for the two to kiss and make up come the film’s November 16 release, box office experts tell Celebuzz.

That’s not all: the couple will likely stay together — until at least 2013.

“This is all fiction, and people know that these are actors,” says Gitesh Pandya, analyst of Box Office Guru. “Who knows — they might kiss and make up come opening weekend and show the world how strong their ‘love’ is. Usually, co-stars who date are required to stay together until at least the DVD release.”

But how will the scandal affect Stewart, who was photographed during a romantic rendezvous with her ‘Snow White and the Huntsman’ director Rupert Sanders?

Pandya say K-Stew, 22, will probably return to being a Twilight darling in fans’ eyes — regardless of what her July 25 statement of “momentary indiscretion” copped to.

“Kristen has months to make amends and win back fans she may have lost,” Pandya (@giteshpandya) says.

Breaking Dawn — Part 2 is still on track for one of the widest releases of the year, and experts say its fortunes in movie theaters will hardly be stopped by the scandal.

“I’m sure the PR folks at Lionsgate/Summit don’t mind all the recent press, as it’s keeping Breaking Dawn — Part 2 relevant, and we’re still four months out,” Robert Bock, senior analyst at Exhibitor Relations, tells Celebuzz. “Team Edward, Team Jacob — start your propaganda engines!”

The year’s biggest movies — a handful, at most — debut on 4,000 screens, making them virtual locks to earn hundreds of millions. Breaking Dawn — Part 2 will remain on that list, despite any bad press it has received in the past 24 hours. The other 2012 films to open that wide are The Avengers, The Hunger Games, The Amazing Spider-Man, Brave, MIB3, The Dark Knight Rises and Madagascar 3.

All Twilight films, except the first one, have opened on more than 4,000 screens — without the extra controversy.

A difference this time is that Breaking Dawn — Part 2 — like Harry Potter, last year — is due an extra bump in attendance, because it’s the last film in the Twilight series.

“Depending on what the outcome is, [Pattinson and Stewart's] relationship will likely still be relevant when the film is released. And whichever way it goes, paparazzi and the press will certainly speculate on every red carpet move they make together,” Bock says. “All this attention can only add fuel to the Twilight fire, as the industry was already expecting a huge box office bump for the final installment, akin to Harry Potter & The Deathly Hallows Pt. 2, which had the biggest debut of the series.

“This will open in over 4,000+ theaters. Not even Armageddon could stop that.”

Twi-hards can also count on some extra unexpected fireworks, besides just the movie — even if their hearts may be broken, just a bit.

Says Pandya, “It’s gonna make for some very awkward press junkets and red carpets!”

Will you be seeing Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part II despite the Kristen Stewart/Robert Pattinson scandal? Let us know in the comments.

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