Tell Us Who You Think Will Win Big on Oscar Night

By: Robert Kessler / February 25, 2014

It’s been quite the year for film and in just a few days, the Academy Awards — film’s ultimate prize — will be awarded. So who will be victorious? You tell us. Below you’ll find my predictions for who will win, as well as room for you to sound off on whom you think will take home Oscar gold.

Best Picture
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This year’s Best Picture race is incredibly tight, but it looks like it pretty much comes down to either American Hustle or 12 Years a Slave. Hustle took the early lead, nearly sweeping the New York Film Critics Circle and taking home top honors at the Golden Globes and the SAG Awards. However, that momentum seems to have shifted in 12 Years a Slave’s favor with wins from the Producers Guild and the American Film Institute.

Robert’s Prediction: 12 Years a Slave

Best Director
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A Best Picture/Best Director split is still fairly rare but it looks almost certain this year as Gravity director Alfonso Cuarón looks to be a shoe-in to take home the Oscar for Best Director.

Robert’s Prediction: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

Best Actor
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If there’s going to be an Oscar night upset, look for it to happen in this category, which looks to me like the category with the highest potential for a surprise. Matthew McConaughey has been taking home awards all season. But Chiwetel Ejiofor and Leonardo DiCaprio also delivered phenomenal performances and certainly have the potential to pull off an upset win. Then there is Bruce Dern who is nominated for only his second time, despite a five decade career in Hollywood. His story, in addition to a powerhouse performance in Nebraska, could draw votes as well.

Robert’s Prediction: Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Actress
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Cate Blanchett has been the clear front-runner since Blue Jasmine came out in August. Her performance was, far and away, the year’s best. Then new debate about past accusations of sexual abuse against Woody Allen looked to possibly derail Blanchett’s path to Oscar. However, Dylan Farrow initially made her accusations against Allen in 1992; since then he has been nominated for 9 Academy Awards and won one. If the Academy hasn’t shied away from nominating Allen, they probably won’t shy away from awarding Blanchett.

Robert’s Prediction: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Supporting Actor
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This one is almost certainly Jared Leto’s to lose. He’s won nearly every award all season, with the exception of a BAFTA snub. It’s difficult to imagine a scenario in which Leto doesn’t take home an Oscar as well.

Robert’s Prediction: Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Best Supporting Actress
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This award, like Best Picture, comes down to Jennifer Lawrence in American Hustle and Lupita Nyong’o in 12 Years a Slave. The Academy is typically skittish about awarding newcomers, like Nyong’o, and Lawrence had early momentum with wins at the New York Film Critics Circle and the Golden Globes. However, that momentum has shifted in Nyongo’o’s favor, with her win at the SAG Awards and her transformation into a general media darling. And for what it’s worth, Nyong’o gave a better performance than Lawrence.

Robert’s Prediction: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

Best Original Screenplay
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In my personal opinion, Her is a beautiful film and deserved nominations for Joaquin Phoenix, Scarlett Johansson and perhaps even Amy Adams. In terms of cold hard facts, Her’s phenomenal screenplay is getting a lot of love on the awards circuit this season, including wins at the Golden Globes and the Writers Guild of America Awards. Granted, the film does feel a little, let’s say, young for the Academy and it wouldn’t be a total surprise to see American Hustle win either.

Robert’s Prediction: Spike Jonze, Her

Best Adapted Screenplay
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Thanks to the film, Soloman Northup’s memoir (on which the film is based) is going to be taught in schools now. It’s hard to imagine a scenario in which John Ridley’s script doesn’t win.

Robert’s Prediction: John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave

Best Animated Feature Film
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Hahahahahaha, you’re kidding, right? It’s Frozen.

Robert’s Prediction: Frozen